Result
1:0
06/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (157/255) | 85% (445/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (157/255) | 85% (445/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 74% (61/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 78% (152/195) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 24% (11/46) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Sitjakovs R. (Pen),
- 44', Nakamura R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Putrans D. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
- 46', Valmiers D. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 46', Glaudans A. ↓, Deklavs A. ↑,
- 46', Tihonovics M. ↓, Berzins L. ↑,
- 59', Pulis I. 🟨,
- 69', Maslovs R. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 69', Rogovs D. ↓, Bekima B. ↑,
- 73', Oss M. 🟨,
- 78', Samoilovs B. 🟨,
- 80', Samoilovs B. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 90+1', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Emsis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
50.5% | Draw
26.2% | Tukums 2000
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Super Nova - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.7) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
3.89 ↓
(4.39) |
10.3%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Tukums 2000?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Super Nova has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tukums 2000 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tukums 2000 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Super Nova is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Tukums 2000?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Super Nova?
Tukums 2000 has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
16.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Tukums 2000
1:1
31.03.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Super Nova
2:2
17.09.2023
Tukums 2000
-
Super Nova
1:0
30.06.2023
Super Nova
-
Tukums 2000
2:5
27.05.2023
Tukums 2000
-
Super Nova
3:2
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
