Tulsa vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.650.81
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Passes
83% (430/517)62% (150/242)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
0.650.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.96
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
83
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1018
Passes
83% (430/517)62% (150/242)
Long passes
43% (29/67)28% (20/72)
Passes in final third
71% (106/149)42% (31/73)
Crosses
20% (6/30)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.24
Throw ins
1812
Fouls
1810
Tackles
56% (5/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.960.27
Goals prevented
-0.040.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Webber J. 🟨,
  • 30', Palomino M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bazini Y. , Zubak E. ,
  • 46', Palomino M. , Sylla O. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, MacKinnon L. ,
  • 64', Bruno Lapa , Somersall R. ,
  • 64', Sparks B. , Lukic S. ,
  • 65', Elmedkhar K. , Cabral R. ,
  • 69', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 75', Damm O. , Stauffer L. ,
  • 76', Hegardt C. , Espy T. ,
  • 84', Ian 🟨,
  • 86', Kelly S. , Doody G. ,
  • 87', Pierre D. , Cissoko A. ,
  • 89', Somersall R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tulsa
51%
Draw
27.3%
Orange County SC
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 25.9% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 25.1% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Tulsa - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.67)
    3.39
    (3.52)
    4.28
    (4.69)
    7.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Orange County SC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Tulsa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Orange County SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tulsa is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Tulsa will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Orange County SC were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Tulsa - Orange County SC 1:0
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    09.08.2024 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:0
    30.03.2024 Orange County SC - Tulsa 1:0
    17.06.2023 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:3
    Latest results of Tulsa
    01.04.2026 San Antonio - Tulsa 0:1
    28.03.2026 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    21.03.2026 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 3:2
    14.03.2026 Tulsa - San Antonio 0:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)