Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 1.40 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (199/256) | 84% (358/427) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 1.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.09 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
78% (199/256) | 84% (358/427) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (20/42) | 48% (33/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (56/86) | 51% (41/80) |
Crosses |
---|
55% (11/20) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.51 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
4 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (3/4) | 100% (4/4) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.09 | 1.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
- 10', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 20', Kelly S. 🟥,
- 25', 1 - 0, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
- 43', Shutler C. 🟨,
- 45', Batista L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Batista L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 46', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 46', Guimaraes P. ↓, Ciotta N. ↑,
- 60', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 66', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 67', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
- 69', Goldthorp E. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 74', Sylla O. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 81', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 81', Miles A. ↓, Kone C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tulsa 51.2% | Draw 25.9% | Orange County SC 22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Tulsa - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↓ (1.99) |
3.56 ↓ (3.59) |
4.03 ↑ (3.49) |
8.4% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 0.
- Tulsa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orange County SC is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Tulsa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Orange County SC?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Tulsa?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Orange County SC were as follows:
03.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
Tulsa
2:1
09.08.2024
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:0
30.03.2024
Orange County SC
-
Tulsa
1:0
17.06.2023
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:3
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
2 | Charleston | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
4 | Loudoun | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )