Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (199/256) | 84% (358/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (199/256) | 84% (358/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 48% (33/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
- 10', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 20', Kelly S. 🟥,
- 25', 1 - 0, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
- 43', Shutler C. 🟨,
- 45', Batista L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Batista L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 46', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 46', Guimaraes P. ↓, Ciotta N. ↑,
- 60', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 66', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 67', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
- 69', Goldthorp E. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 74', Sylla O. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 81', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 81', Miles A. ↓, Kone C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
51.2% | Draw
25.9% | Orange County SC
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Tulsa - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.99) |
3.56 ↓
(3.59) |
4.03 ↑
(3.49) |
8.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 0.
- Tulsa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orange County SC is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Tulsa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Orange County SC?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Tulsa?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Orange County SC were as follows:
03.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
Tulsa
2:1
09.08.2024
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:0
30.03.2024
Orange County SC
-
Tulsa
1:0
17.06.2023
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:3
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
