Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (208/309) | 64% (173/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (208/309) | 64% (173/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/77) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/121) | 55% (58/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Colli G. 🟨,
- 7', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
- 11', Stone D. 🟨,
- 37', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lukic S. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 48', Damm O. 🟨,
- 52', Brewitt T. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Miles A. (A),
- 57', Latinovich V. 🟨,
- 58', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 58', Damm O. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
- 74', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
- 80', 2 - 1, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
- 84', Diallo B. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 84', Dunbar C. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 84', MacKinnon L. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 85', Toure A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Calheira T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
40.5% | Draw
27.7% | Tulsa
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Tulsa aligns with the current prediction.
Orange County SC - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.27) |
3.35 ↑
(3.34) |
2.92 ↓
(2.94) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4.
- Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tulsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Tulsa?
Orange County SC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Orange County SC?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Tulsa were as follows:
09.08.2024
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:0
30.03.2024
Orange County SC
-
Tulsa
1:0
17.06.2023
Tulsa
-
Orange County SC
0:3
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
