Orange County SC vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - Tulsa
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Orange County SC - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.49
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Long passes
32% (25/77)32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
55% (67/121)55% (58/105)
Crosses
34% (10/29)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.59
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1015
Tackles
69% (9/13)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
2939
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.490.77
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Colli G. 🟨,
  • 7', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 11', Stone D. 🟨,
  • 37', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lukic S. , Toure A. ,
  • 48', Damm O. 🟨,
  • 52', Brewitt T. , Miles A. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. , Miles A. (A),
  • 57', Latinovich V. 🟨,
  • 58', Dalou A. , Webber J. ,
  • 58', Damm O. , Stauffer L. ,
  • 74', Jamison B. , War M. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Calheira T. , St.Clair H. (A),
  • 80', 2 - 1, MacKinnon L. , Doghman R. (A),
  • 84', Diallo B. , Laszo E. ,
  • 84', Dunbar C. , Sylla O. ,
  • 84', MacKinnon L. , Trager T. ,
  • 85', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Calheira T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
40.5%
Draw
27.7%
Tulsa
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.7% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.4% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Tulsa aligns with the current prediction.
  • Orange County SC - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.27)
    3.35
    (3.34)
    2.92
    (2.94)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4.
    • Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tulsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Tulsa were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:0
    30.03.2024 Orange County SC - Tulsa 1:0
    17.06.2023 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:3
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of Tulsa
    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tulsa - Oakland Roots 1:2
    02.04.2025 Forward Madison - Tulsa 1:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1683526:22427
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1563614:14021
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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