Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tulsa - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.59
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
142
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
145
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Long passes
37% (18/49)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)58% (53/92)
Crosses
23% (7/30)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.50
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
1914
Tackles
86% (12/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4763
Clearances
1851
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.591.96
Goals prevented
0.590.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sacko I. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 31', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Avayevu H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Elmedkhar K. , Calheira T. ,
  • 62', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 62', Flood R. , Cuello E. ,
  • 62', Goldthorp E. , Lukic S. ,
  • 69', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Rogers A. , Calheira T. (A),
  • 80', Dennis C. , Emmers X. ,
  • 85', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Formella D. , Ping J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
45.4%
Draw
26.8%
Phoenix Rising
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.3% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.7% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tulsa's performance.
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Tulsa - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.31)
    3.45
    (3.38)
    3.32
    (2.83)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - Phoenix Rising?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tulsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Phoenix Rising is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    08.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 1:0
    05.04.2024 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 3:3
    09.09.2023 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    Latest results of Tulsa
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )