Result
1:0 ET
08/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (203/338) | 69% (270/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (203/338) | 69% (270/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (27/100) | 26% (23/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (78/157) | 48% (48/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 82 | 87 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Moursou J. 🟨,
- 44', Scearce J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Damm O. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 67', Batista L. 🟨,
- 67', Johnson D. 🟨,
- 80', Sousa T. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
- 88', Stauffer L. 🟨,
- 90+1', St.Clair H. 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 103', Johnson D. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 103', Scearce J. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
- 105', Avayevu H. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 113', Okello N. 🟨,
- 115', Stauffer L. ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
- 115', Dalou A. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 120+2', 1 - 0, Lukic S. ⚽,
- 120+4', Lukic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
49.8% | Draw
25.5% | Phoenix Rising
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Tulsa - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.78) |
3.65 ↓
(3.88) |
3.76 ↓
(3.89) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Tulsa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Phoenix Rising is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Tulsa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Phoenix Rising?
Tulsa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Tulsa?
Phoenix Rising has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
14.06.2025
Tulsa
-
Phoenix Rising
1:1
16.04.2025
Tulsa
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
08.03.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Tulsa
0:1
06.09.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Tulsa
1:0
05.04.2024
Tulsa
-
Phoenix Rising
3:3
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Indy Eleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Detroit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Loudoun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sporting Jax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Brooklyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Oakland Roots | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Monterey Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | El Paso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lexington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
