Result
2:1
21/07/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Chances of winning
Tulsa
33.6% | Draw
27.6% | Rio Grande Valley
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.02) |
3.33 ↓
(3.5) |
2.37 ↓
(3.16) |
8.8%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley?
Users Predictions:
Rio Grande Valley will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 5.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Tulsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Rio Grande Valley?
Tulsa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Tulsa?
Rio Grande Valley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
