Tulsa vs Rio Grande Valley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/07/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tulsa
33.6%
Draw
27.6%
Rio Grande Valley
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 25.4% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.02)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    2.37
    (3.16)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley?
  • Users Predictions: Rio Grande Valley will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 5.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Tulsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.
    Latest results of Tulsa
    15.07.2023 Tulsa - Hartford Athletic 3:2
    12.07.2023 Tulsa - Miami 1:0
    08.07.2023 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 0:1
    30.06.2023 Tulsa - Detroit City 3:2
    21.06.2023 Memphis 901 - Tulsa 4:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)