Result
0:1
07/06/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/499) | 60% (142/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/499) | 60% (142/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 23% (16/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (99/158) | 47% (43/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Webber J. (A),
- 14', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 33', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 39', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Herrera J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 58', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 60', Ross N. 🟨,
- 61', Damm O. 🟨,
- 66', Cicerone R. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 66', Kleemann F. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 67', Webber J. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 67', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 74', Pierre D. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
- 74', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 84', Ross N. ↓, Portillo J. J. ↑,
- 84', Spaulding R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 87', Damm O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
47.3% | Draw
27.5% | Tulsa
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Republic's form might have worsened.Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sacramento Republic - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.75) |
3.37 ↓
(3.76) |
3.68 ↓
(4.11) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Tulsa?
Users Predictions:
Sacramento Republic will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sacramento Republic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
- Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tulsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Tulsa?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Sacramento Republic?
Tulsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Tulsa were as follows:
28.03.2025
Tulsa
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
22.06.2024
Tulsa
-
Sacramento Republic
0:0
13.04.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Tulsa
1:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
