Result
0:1
07/06/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/499) | 60% (142/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/499) | 60% (142/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 23% (16/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (99/158) | 47% (43/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Webber J. (A),
- 14', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 33', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 39', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Herrera J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 58', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 60', Ross N. 🟨,
- 61', Damm O. 🟨,
- 66', Cicerone R. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 66', Kleemann F. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 67', Webber J. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 67', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 74', Pierre D. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
- 74', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 84', Ross N. ↓, Portillo J. J. ↑,
- 84', Spaulding R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 87', Damm O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
47.3% | Draw
27.5% | Tulsa
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Republic's form might have worsened.Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sacramento Republic - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.75) |
3.37 ↓
(3.76) |
3.68 ↓
(4.11) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Tulsa?
Users Predictions:
Sacramento Republic will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sacramento Republic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
- Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tulsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Tulsa?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Sacramento Republic?
Tulsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Tulsa were as follows:
28.03.2025
Tulsa
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
22.06.2024
Tulsa
-
Sacramento Republic
0:0
13.04.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Tulsa
1:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
