Result
0:3
24/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Serrano A. ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, Ozobic F. ⚽,
- 34', Sadykhov R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Manafov T. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 46', Miller R. ↓, Mampassi M. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 3, Keita S. (Own goal),
- 56', Akinade I. ↓, Shahniyarov S. ↑,
- 56', Sissoko S. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
- 69', Eduardo Kunde ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 69', Ahmadov E. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 71', Ozobic F. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
- 71', Wadji I. ↓, Jo Batista ↑,
- 84', Sadykhov R. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
- 84', Guseynov A. ↓, Ginnelly J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gabala
20.5% | Draw
29.9% | Turan Tovuz
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Gabala - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.45 ↑
(3.96) |
3.05 ↓
(3.17) |
1.84 ↓
(1.93) |
9.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gabala - Turan Tovuz?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gabala will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Turan will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turan: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Turan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Turan (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Gabala (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Turan (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gabala (votes: 1 - 25%). Turan (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 1.
- Gabala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Turan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Turan is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Turan Tovuz?
Gabala has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Gabala?
Turan Tovuz has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
13.09.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Gabala
1:0
13.04.2024
Gabala
-
Turan Tovuz
1:2
13.02.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Gabala
2:1
25.11.2023
Gabala
-
Turan Tovuz
4:0
17.09.2023
Turan Tovuz
-
Gabala
2:2
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
