Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Hurtado H. ⚽,
- 22', Guseynov A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Ahmadov E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 1, Hurtado H. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 1, Jo Batista ⚽,
- 67', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Sissoko S. ↑,
- 67', Rashidov N. ↓, Manafov T. ↑,
- 67', Keita S. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
- 68', Ozobic F. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
- 78', Hurtado H. ↓, Hackman E. ↑,
- 79', Guseynov A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 79', Sadykhov R. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
- 81', Amoah I. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
- 86', Silva J. ↓, Hadzhiyev F. ↑,
- 89', Owusu P. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 90+7', Miller R. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Miller R. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Turan Tovuz
55.6% | Draw
26.7% | Gabala
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Turan Tovuz - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.77) |
3.43 ↑
(3.38) |
5.19 ↑
(4.2) |
9.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Turan Tovuz - Gabala?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Turan Tovuz will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 4.
- Turan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gabala has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Turan has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Turan is the team to beat.
- We predict that Turan will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Turan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Gabala?
Turan Tovuz has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Turan Tovuz?
Gabala has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Tovuz - Gabala were as follows:
24.02.2026
Gabala
-
Turan Tovuz
0:3
13.09.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Gabala
1:0
13.04.2024
Gabala
-
Turan Tovuz
1:2
13.02.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Gabala
2:1
25.11.2023
Gabala
-
Turan Tovuz
4:0
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
