Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Henrique ↓, Hadzhiyev F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Haciyev R. ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 1, Jo Batista ⚽, Hadzhiyev F. (A),
- 65', Guseynov A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 65', Onanuga O. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
- 66', Olabe R. ↓, Ozobic F. ↑,
- 67', Jo Batista 🟨,
- 73', Verdasca D. 🟨,
- 87', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
17.9% | Draw
28.2% | Turan Tovuz
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Kapaz - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.1 ↑
(4.39) |
3.22 ↓
(3.26) |
1.69 ↓
(1.81) |
9.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kapaz - Turan Tovuz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Kapaz (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 0.
- Kapaz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Turan is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kapaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Turan is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:41. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Turan Tovuz?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Kapaz?
Turan Tovuz has won 13 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
05.03.2026
Kapaz
-
Turan Tovuz
0:2
05.02.2026
Turan Tovuz
-
Kapaz
1:0
19.12.2025
Kapaz
-
Turan Tovuz
0:2
28.09.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Kapaz
3:0
25.05.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Kapaz
4:0
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
