Result
0:4
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Ssenyonjo S. ⚽,
- 23', 0 - 2, Ssenyonjo S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 72', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tusker
29.5% | Draw
34.9% | AFC Leopards
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tusker's form might have worsened.AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tusker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Leopards, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tusker - AFC Leopards Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.46) |
2.59 ↓
(2.8) |
2.55 ↓
(3.04) |
10.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Tusker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against AFC Leopards?
Tusker has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Leopards won against Tusker?
AFC Leopards has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - AFC Leopards were as follows:
03.05.2025
Tusker
-
AFC Leopards
0:0
11.12.2024
AFC Leopards
-
Tusker
4:1
10.03.2024
Tusker
-
AFC Leopards
1:0
04.12.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Tusker
0:0
05.04.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Tusker
0:1
Latest results of AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
