Tusker vs Kariobangi Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FKF Mozzart Bet Cup - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Tusker
54.1%
Draw
29.2%
Kariobangi Sharks
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 29.2% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.9% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tusker's performance.
  • Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kariobangi Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kariobangi Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.85)
    3.29
    (3.1)
    5.75
    (4.11)
    4.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tusker have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kariobangi Sharks's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tusker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tusker is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks were as follows:
    02.03.2026 Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker 1:2
    29.10.2025 Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks 2:1
    14.09.2024 Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker 3:2
    06.04.2024 Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker 3:2
    02.09.2023 Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks 1:1
    Latest results of Tusker
    03.04.2026 Police FC - Tusker 1:0
    22.03.2026 AFC Leopards - Tusker 1:0
    15.03.2026 Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz 2:0
    02.03.2026 Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker 1:2
    25.02.2026 Tusker - Muranga Seal 1:0
    Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks