Result
1:2
02/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Oduor F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kariobangi Sharks
27.5% | Draw
35.8% | Tusker
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kariobangi Sharks's form might have worsened.Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kariobangi Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.69) |
2.53 ↓
(2.8) |
2.47 ↓
(2.75) |
10.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 2.
- Kariobangi Sharks is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tusker has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kariobangi Sharks won against Tusker?
Kariobangi Sharks has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Kariobangi Sharks?
Tusker has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker were as follows:
29.10.2025
Tusker
-
Kariobangi Sharks
2:1
14.09.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Tusker
3:2
06.04.2024
Kariobangi Sharks
-
Tusker
3:2
02.09.2023
Tusker
-
Kariobangi Sharks
1:1
04.02.2023
Tusker
-
Kariobangi Sharks
1:1
Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
