Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Kapaito E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
29.7% | Draw
34.1% | Tusker
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Mathare United - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.06) |
2.64 ↓
(2.94) |
2.49 ↑
(2.34) |
11%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tusker has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Tusker?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Mathare United?
Tusker has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Tusker were as follows:
01.10.2025
Tusker
-
Mathare United
0:0
27.04.2025
Mathare United
-
Tusker
2:1
07.12.2024
Tusker
-
Mathare United
2:0
12.04.2023
Mathare United
-
Tusker
0:2
18.02.2023
Tusker
-
Mathare United
2:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
