Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Kapaito E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
29.7% | Draw
34.1% | Tusker
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Mathare United - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.06) |
2.64 ↓
(2.94) |
2.49 ↑
(2.34) |
11%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tusker has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Tusker?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Mathare United?
Tusker has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Tusker were as follows:
01.10.2025
Tusker
-
Mathare United
0:0
27.04.2025
Mathare United
-
Tusker
2:1
07.12.2024
Tusker
-
Mathare United
2:0
12.04.2023
Mathare United
-
Tusker
0:2
18.02.2023
Tusker
-
Mathare United
2:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
