Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Shabana
35.8% | Draw
33.2% | Tusker
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabana's form might have worsened.Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tusker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shabana - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.1) |
2.72 ↓
(3.04) |
2.92 ↓
(3.48) |
10.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).
- Shabana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tusker's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shabana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Tusker?
Shabana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Shabana?
Tusker has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shabana - Tusker were as follows:
05.10.2025
Tusker
-
Shabana
1:1
26.02.2025
Tusker
-
Shabana
1:1
11.01.2025
Shabana
-
Tusker
2:1
11.02.2024
Shabana
-
Tusker
0:4
06.10.2023
Tusker
-
Shabana
0:1
Latest results of Shabana
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
