Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 4
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (153/243) | 86% (464/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 57 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (153/243) | 86% (464/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/79) | 67% (45/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (49/96) | 86% (216/251) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 31% (11/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.63 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Henderikx S. 🟥,
- 27', van Rooij B. 🟨,
- 40', van den Belt T. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 59', Booth T. ↓, Orjasaeter S. ↑,
- 60', Rots D. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 65', de Regt G. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 72', van Duinen M. 🟨,
- 75', van Rooij B. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
- 75', Rots M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 78', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
- 80', Propper R. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 0, van Duinen M. ⚽, Martens N. (A),
- 88', Bergraaf J. 🟨,
- 90', Carlen A. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
20.5% | Draw
26.9% | Twente
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Excelsior - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.01 ↑
(3.65) |
3.64 ↓
(3.88) |
1.86 ↑
(1.86) |
1.2%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Twente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Twente will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
- Excelsior has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Twente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Twente is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Schouten L.
(Muscle Injury)
Tielemans M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Bergraaf J.
(Inactive)
van Gassel S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Twente?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Excelsior?
Twente has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Twente were as follows:
10.02.2024
Excelsior
-
Twente
0:3
08.12.2023
Twente
-
Excelsior
4:2
01.04.2023
Excelsior
-
Twente
0:0
31.08.2022
Twente
-
Excelsior
4:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
