Result
0:0
24/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 20
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (504/607) | 73% (233/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (504/607) | 73% (233/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (132/188) | 51% (35/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nadje C. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 55', Rots M. 🟨,
- 56', Hlynsson K. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
- 56', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 65', Martens N. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 65', Jonathans M. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
- 74', van den Belt T. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
- 76', Janssen S. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
- 77', Hartjes L. ↓, Naujoks N. ↑,
- 80', Carlen A. 🟨,
- 85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 85', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 89', van Duinen M. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Twente
75.4% | Draw
16% | Excelsior
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Twente - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.35) |
5.94 ↑
(4.85) |
10.97 ↑
(8.1) |
5.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Twente - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2 - Twente (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Excelsior (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.
- Twente is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Excelsior has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Excelsior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Twente has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
Zerrouki R.
(Red Card)
van Rooij B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Twente: Rots D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Excelsior?
Twente has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Twente?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Excelsior were as follows:
30.08.2025
Excelsior
-
Twente
1:0
10.02.2024
Excelsior
-
Twente
0:3
08.12.2023
Twente
-
Excelsior
4:2
01.04.2023
Excelsior
-
Twente
0:0
31.08.2022
Twente
-
Excelsior
4:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
