Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (343/447) | 84% (400/477) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (343/447) | 84% (400/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (92/138) | 73% (76/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', van der Werff D. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Peersman M. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Rots D. ⚽, Lemkin S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Hlynsson K. ⚽,
- 66', van der Werff D. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
- 66', Prins W. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
- 66', Land T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 76', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 77', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 78', Mercera T. 🟨,
- 83', Schreuders J. ↓, Bouland S. ↑,
- 84', Mercera T. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 86', Hlynsson K. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
- 86', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 90', Rots M. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Twente
62.2% | Draw
21.4% | Groningen
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Twente - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.62) |
4.45 ↑
(3.87) |
5.72 ↑
(5.05) |
5.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Twente - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 54.7% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
- Twente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Groningen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Twente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M.
(Groin Injury)
de Jonge T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Propper R.
(Injury)
van Wolfswinkel R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Groningen?
Twente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Twente?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Groningen were as follows:
02.11.2025
Groningen
-
Twente
1:1
01.03.2025
Groningen
-
Twente
1:1
15.12.2024
Twente
-
Groningen
2:0
05.02.2023
Groningen
-
Twente
1:1
16.10.2022
Twente
-
Groningen
3:0
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
