Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Escobar Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 0, Peque ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva 28.6% | Draw 32% | UCAM Murcia 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↓ (3.23) |
2.86 ↑ (2.65) |
2.32 ↓ (2.42) |
9.4% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 1.
- Lorca Deportiva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UCAM Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against UCAM Murcia?
Lorca Deportiva has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Lorca Deportiva?
UCAM Murcia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
14.09.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Lorca Deportiva
2:1
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Deportiva Minera | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Lorca Deportiva | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Xerez CD | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 24:19 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Jaen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | CD Extremadura | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34:29 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 21:22 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Linares | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | La Union | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 15 | Melilla | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 16 | CD Estepona | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation