Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Spain | TVG |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 75', 3 - 0, Sane A. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 1, Zayzoun Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sarriana
28.1% | Draw
28.2% | UD Ourense
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Ourense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Ourense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarriana - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.79) |
3.24 ↑
(3.06) |
2.09 ↓
(2.34) |
9.3%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Sarriana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- UD Ourense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- UD Ourense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarriana won against UD Ourense?
Sarriana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Sarriana?
UD Ourense has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarriana - UD Ourense were as follows:
21.12.2025
UD Ourense
-
Sarriana
1:0
10.08.2025
UD Ourense
-
Sarriana
5:0
21.12.2024
UD Ourense
-
Sarriana
0:0
14.04.2024
Sarriana
-
UD Ourense
1:2
26.11.2023
UD Ourense
-
Sarriana
2:1
Latest results of Sarriana
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:18 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Salamanca | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Numancia | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 39 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 28 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 48:40 | 8 | 33 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Langreo | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 45:51 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:48 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 21:63 | -42 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
UD Samano is Relegated to
