Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 2 |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Infinity+, Italia 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.17 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 9 |
Passes |
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84% (365/434) | 80% (327/409) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.17 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.68 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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30 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 14 |
Passes |
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84% (365/434) | 80% (327/409) |
Long passes |
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47% (27/57) | 37% (19/51) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (70/102) | 57% (46/81) |
Crosses |
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15% (2/13) | 38% (8/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.44 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 19 |
Fouls |
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14 | 12 |
Tackles |
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60% (6/10) | 47% (7/15) |
Duels won |
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45 | 44 |
Clearances |
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33 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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1.49 | 2.68 |
Goals prevented |
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0.49 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 37', Kabasele C. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Zaniolo N. ⚽, Zanoli A. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Miller L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gyasi E. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
- 46', Pierozzi N. ↓, Augello T. ↑,
- 46', Le Douaron J. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 59', Giovane S. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 65', Buksa A. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
- 65', Kabasele C. ↓, Kristensen T. ↑,
- 65', Ranocchia F. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
- 70', Miller L. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
- 70', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
- 81', Karlstrom J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Peda P. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
Chances of winning
Udinese 42.8% | Draw 29.5% | Palermo 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palermo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Udinese - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.7) |
3.24 ↓ (3.6) |
3.48 ↓ (5.55) |
4.8% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Udinese - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Palermo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
- Udinese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Palermo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Udinese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Udinese is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Palermo?
Udinese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Udinese?
Palermo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Palermo were as follows:
Latest results of Udinese
Latest results of Palermo
Draw
2025/261/64-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
5 | Parma | Bye | |
6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
7 | Spezia | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
9 | Lazio | Bye | |
13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
14 | Bye | Bari | |
15 | Lecce | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
17 | Juventus | Bye | |
21 | Udinese | Bye | |
22 | Bye | Carrarese | |
23 | Cremonese | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Palermo | |
25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
29 | Empoli | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Reggiana | |
31 | Genoa | Bye | |
32 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
33 | Inter | Bye | |
37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
38 | Verona | Bye | |
39 | Venezia | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Mantova | |
41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
45 | Torino | Bye | |
46 | Bye | Modena | |
47 | Pisa | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Cesena | |
49 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
53 | Como | Bye | |
54 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
55 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
56 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
57 | Napoli | Bye | |
61 | Monza | Bye | |
62 | Bye | Frosinone | |
63 | Cagliari | Bye | |
64 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
5 | Lazio | Bye | |
7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
9 | Juventus | Bye | |
11 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
12 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
15 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
16 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
17 | Inter | Bye | |
19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
25 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
27 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
28 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
29 | Napoli | Bye | |
31 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
32 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
3 | Lazio | Bye | |
4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
5 | Juventus | Bye | |
6 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
8 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
9 | Inter | Bye | |
10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
13 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
14 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
15 | Napoli | Bye | |
16 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals1 | Bologna | Parma | |
2 | Lazio | AC Milan | |
3 | Juventus | Udinese | |
4 | Atalanta | Genoa | |
5 | Inter | Venezia | |
6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
7 | Fiorentina | Como | |
8 | Napoli | Cagliari | |
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