Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Ufa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 9
  • Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Isaev S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ,
  • 35', Khabalov A. , Troyanov K. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 45+5', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kukharchuk I. , Aliev S. ,
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 46', Matyusha M. , Shtepa M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 53', Chimezie W. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 53', Mrzljak F. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
  • 65', Zhigulev I. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 67', Minatulaev O. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 68', Shlyakov E. , Karpuk I. ,
  • 71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
  • 74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.3%
Draw
30.4%
Ufa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 29% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 28.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.89)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    4.1
    (4.57)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ufa (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 2:1
    12.10.2024 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:3
    Latest results of Ufa
    03.09.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Ufa 0:0
    23.08.2025 KAMAZ - Ufa 3:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    10.08.2025 Rotor - Ufa 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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