Ufa vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ufa
46%
Draw
29.5%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 29.4% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.7% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.06)
    3.22
    (3.23)
    3.88
    (3.9)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Recent performances by Ufa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernomorets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ufa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ufa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 3:2
    30.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 2:1
    12.10.2024 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:3
    Latest results of Ufa
    12.04.2026 Ural - Ufa 0:0
    06.04.2026 Ufa - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    28.03.2026 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa 1:0
    21.03.2026 Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    15.03.2026 Ufa - Sokol Saratov 2:0
    Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation