Result
3:2
07/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 9
- Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Isaev S. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
- 35', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ⚽,
- 45+5', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
- 46', Lozhkin V. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 46', Matyusha M. ↓, Shtepa M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 53', Chimezie W. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 53', Mrzljak F. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
- 65', Zhigulev I. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 67', Minatulaev O. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 68', Shlyakov E. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
- 71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
- 74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ⚽,
- 90+1', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.3% | Draw
30.4% | Ufa
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.89) |
3.15 ↓
(3.27) |
4.1 ↓
(4.57) |
4.6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Ufa?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa were as follows:
30.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Ufa
2:1
12.10.2024
Ufa
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:3
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Kamaz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Ufa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yenisey | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Saratov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
