Result
3:2
07/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 9
- Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Isaev S. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
- 35', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ⚽,
- 45+5', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
- 46', Lozhkin V. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 46', Matyusha M. ↓, Shtepa M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 53', Chimezie W. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 53', Mrzljak F. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
- 65', Zhigulev I. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 67', Minatulaev O. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 68', Shlyakov E. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
- 71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
- 74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ⚽,
- 90+1', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 46.3% | Draw 30.4% | Ufa 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.89) |
3.15 ↓ (3.27) |
4.1 ↓ (4.57) |
4.6% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Ufa?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa were as follows:
30.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Ufa
2:1
12.10.2024
Ufa
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:3
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation