Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Ufa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa
Result
3:2
07/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 9
  • Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
159
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Isaev S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Minatulaev O. ,
  • 35', Khabalov A. , Troyanov K. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 45+5', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kukharchuk I. , Aliev S. ,
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 46', Matyusha M. , Shtepa M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 53', Chimezie W. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 53', Mrzljak F. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 57', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
  • 65', Zhigulev I. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 67', Minatulaev O. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 68', Shlyakov E. , Karpuk I. ,
  • 71', Shtepa M. 🟨,
  • 74', Ortiz D. 🟨,
  • 78', Pomeshkin K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Karpuk I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Pliev Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.3%
Draw
30.4%
Ufa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 29% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 28.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.89)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    4.1
    (4.57)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent form of Chernomorets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chernomorets is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa 2:1
    12.10.2024 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:3
    Latest results of Ufa
    03.09.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Ufa 0:0
    23.08.2025 KAMAZ - Ufa 3:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    10.08.2025 Rotor - Ufa 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1676323:14927
    5R. Volgograd1675420:11926
    6Kamaz1675428:171126
    7Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

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