Virtus Francavilla vs Ugento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Virtus Francavilla - Ugento
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 34

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 🟥,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Diop M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Pascual D. R. ,

Chances of winning


Virtus Francavilla
28.5%
Draw
25.3%
Ugento
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 25% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 23.9% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Virtus Francavilla - Ugento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (3.26)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    10.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ugento could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Francavilla - Ugento were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Ugento - Virtus Francavilla 1:0
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Latest results of Ugento
    27.04.2025 Ugento - Matera 1:4
    17.04.2025 Città di Fasano - Ugento 0:2
    13.04.2025 Ugento - Martina Calcio 2:0
    30.03.2025 Ugento - Casarano 2:3
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1