Ujpest vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Ujpest - Paksi SE
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.21
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
79% (335/424)71% (219/310)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.09
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
79% (335/424)71% (219/310)
Long passes
55% (48/87)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)64% (87/136)
Crosses
39% (9/23)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.241.31
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1414
Tackles
70% (7/10)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
3033
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.091.22
Goals prevented
-0.910.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Horvath K. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Horvath K. , Szendrei A. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Matko A. , Beridze G. (A),
  • 45', Papp K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Ademi A. , Fiola A. ,
  • 57', Horvath K. , Medeiros I. ,
  • 62', Hahn J. , Toth B. ,
  • 62', Szendrei A. , Peto M. ,
  • 65', Lenzser B. 🟨,
  • 73', Peto M. 🟨,
  • 75', Goncalves T. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Lenzser B. , Gyurkits G. (A),
  • 76', Rasak D. , Ljujic M. ,
  • 78', Gyurkits G. , Windecker J. ,
  • 80', Beridze G. , Vlijter G. ,
  • 87', Horvath K. , Hinora K. ,
  • 89', Szekszardi M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ujpest
49.8%
Draw
24.3%
Paksi SE
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 25.8% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ujpest's performance.
  • Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ujpest - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.18)
    3.8
    (3.59)
    3.55
    (2.93)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Ujpest - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paks will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ujpest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 1.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Paksi SE were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Paksi SE - Ujpest 6:1
    09.11.2024 Ujpest - Paksi SE 0:0
    04.08.2024 Paksi SE - Ujpest 2:1
    31.03.2024 Paksi SE - Ujpest 1:2
    29.02.2024 Ujpest - Paksi SE 1:2
    Latest results of Ujpest
    03.08.2025 Győri ETO - Ujpest 1:1
    25.07.2025 Ujpest - Diósgyőri 3:1
    17.07.2025 Osijek - Ujpest 0:1
    13.07.2025 Ujpest - Kryvbas 0:0
    09.07.2025 Ujpest - Dinamo Zagreb 2:4
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    03.08.2025 Kisvárda - Paksi SE 1:5
    31.07.2025 Maribor - Paksi SE 1:1
    27.07.2025 Paksi SE - Győri ETO 3:3
    24.07.2025 Paksi SE - Maribor 1:0
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Debrecen531110:7310
    2Puskas Academy53029:909
    3Paks422012:758
    4Ferencvaros42119:457
    5Kisvarda42115:7-27
    6Gyor413012:756
    7Ujpest41125:504
    8MTK Budapest41128:9-14
    9Nyiregyhaza41126:9-34
    10Zalaegerszegi40408:804
    11DVTK40225:12-72
    12Kazincbarcikai40134:9-51

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.