Result
1:3
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 3.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (276/399) | 67% (236/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 3.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 3.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (276/399) | 67% (236/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (34/96) | 27% (20/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (84/140) | 53% (64/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.91 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 37', Fiola A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Galambos J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 46', Balogh B. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 49', Beridze G. (Pen),
- 51', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Tajti M. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 58', Hinora K. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
- 58', Zeke M. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
- 70', Tajti M. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 3, Matko A. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 75', Gyurkits G. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 77', Horvath K. ↓, Gergenyi B. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Bode D. ⚽, Peto M. (A),
- 85', Matko A. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
- 85', Beridze G. ↓, Ljujic M. ↑,
- 85', Bese B. ↓, Kaczvinszki D. ↑,
- 90+3', Ganea G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kinyik A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rasak D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE 51% | Draw 23.4% | Ujpest 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paksi SE - Ujpest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.76) |
3.94 ↓ (3.97) |
3.62 ↓ (3.79) |
8.2% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Ujpest?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ujpest will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Paks is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ujpest?
Paksi SE has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Paksi SE?
Ujpest has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Ujpest were as follows:
10.08.2025
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
14.03.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
6:1
09.11.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
0:0
04.08.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
2:1
31.03.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
1:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34:17 | 17 | 31 |
| 2 | Gyor | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 28 |
| 4 | Paks | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:25 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 29:32 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Zalaegerszegi | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | DVTK | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Ujpest | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 14 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.