Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.06 | 1.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
79% (335/424) | 71% (219/310) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 1.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (335/424) | 71% (219/310) |
Long passes |
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55% (48/87) | 31% (17/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (69/104) | 64% (87/136) |
Crosses |
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39% (9/23) | 36% (9/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.24 | 1.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.91 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Horvath K. ⚽, Szendrei A. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Beridze G. (A),
- 45', Papp K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Ademi A. ↓, Fiola A. ↑,
- 57', Horvath K. ↓, Medeiros I. ↑,
- 62', Hahn J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 62', Szendrei A. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 65', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 73', Peto M. 🟨,
- 75', Goncalves T. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Lenzser B. ⚽, Gyurkits G. (A),
- 76', Rasak D. ↓, Ljujic M. ↑,
- 78', Gyurkits G. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 80', Beridze G. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
- 87', Horvath K. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
- 89', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ujpest 49.8% | Draw 24.3% | Paksi SE 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ujpest's performance.Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ujpest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↓ (2.18) |
3.8 ↑ (3.59) |
3.55 ↑ (2.93) |
7.6% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paks will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ujpest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 1.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Paksi SE?
Ujpest has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ujpest?
Paksi SE has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Paksi SE were as follows:
14.03.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
6:1
09.11.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
0:0
04.08.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
2:1
31.03.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
1:2
29.02.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Debrecen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
2 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
3 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
4 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
5 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
6 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
7 | Ujpest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
10 | Zalaegerszegi | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
11 | DVTK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.