Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/424) | 71% (219/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.22 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/424) | 71% (219/310) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (48/87) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (69/104) | 64% (87/136) |
| Crosses |
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| 39% (9/23) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
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| 58 | 61 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.09 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Horvath K. ⚽, Szendrei A. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Beridze G. (A),
- 45', Papp K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Ademi A. ↓, Fiola A. ↑,
- 57', Horvath K. ↓, Medeiros I. ↑,
- 62', Hahn J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 62', Szendrei A. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 65', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 73', Peto M. 🟨,
- 75', Goncalves T. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Lenzser B. ⚽, Gyurkits G. (A),
- 76', Rasak D. ↓, Ljujic M. ↑,
- 78', Gyurkits G. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 80', Beridze G. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
- 87', Horvath K. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
- 89', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
49.8% | Draw
24.3% | Paksi SE
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ujpest's performance.Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ujpest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.18) |
3.8 ↑
(3.59) |
3.55 ↑
(2.93) |
7.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paks will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ujpest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 1.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Paksi SE?
Ujpest has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ujpest?
Paksi SE has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Paksi SE were as follows:
14.03.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
6:1
09.11.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
0:0
04.08.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
2:1
31.03.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
1:2
29.02.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | DVTK | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
