Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 25
- Referee: Rusz M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (296/388) | 76% (256/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (296/388) | 76% (256/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 62% (48/78) | 74% (110/149) |
| Crosses |
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| 31% (5/16) | 28% (13/46) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (15/18) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hahn J. ↓, Szendrei A. ↑,
- 59', Vlijter G. ↓, Krajcsovics A. ↑,
- 59', Horvath K. ↓, Brodic F. ↑,
- 60', Ljujic M. 🟨,
- 64', Toth B. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 67', Krajcsovics A. 🟨,
- 71', Bodnar G. 🟨,
- 76', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 81', Fiola A. 🟥,
- 82', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 83', Horvath K. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
- 83', Bevardi Z. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
- 84', Brodic F. ↓, Gergenyi B. ↑,
- 90+1', Gradisar N. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
- 90+1', Matko A. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
41% | Draw
26.8% | Paksi SE
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ujpest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.58) |
3.53 ↓
(3.58) |
2.9 ↑
(2.48) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Paks will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
- Ujpest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paks is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:41. (average 1.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Paksi SE?
Ujpest has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ujpest?
Paksi SE has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Paksi SE were as follows:
23.11.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
1:3
10.08.2025
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
14.03.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
6:1
09.11.2024
Ujpest
-
Paksi SE
0:0
04.08.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ujpest
2:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 53:28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Paks | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | DVTK | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 26:55 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
