Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars
Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 74', 1 - 0, Masika M. W. ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
29.4%
Draw
36.3%
Ulinzi Stars
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 32.1% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 31.5% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.
  • Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.61)
    2.5
    (2.84)
    2.65
    (2.76)
    10%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mathare United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United 0:0
    04.01.2023 Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United 3:1
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0