Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FKF Mozzart Bet Cup - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Ulinzi Stars
37.9%
Draw
33.7%
Tusker
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 34.8% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 34.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Ulinzi Stars - Tusker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.29)
    2.72
    (2.59)
    3.23
    (3.47)
    9.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 1.
    • Ulinzi Stars is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tusker's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Tusker has had a series of home games.
    • Ulinzi Stars might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulinzi Stars - Tusker were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Tusker - Ulinzi Stars 1:0
    25.01.2025 Ulinzi Stars - Tusker 0:1
    23.10.2024 Tusker - Ulinzi Stars 1:1
    21.04.2024 Ulinzi Stars - Tusker 0:1
    01.11.2023 Tusker - Ulinzi Stars 0:1
    Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
    25.04.2026 Bandari - Ulinzi Stars 1:2
    18.04.2026 Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars 2:3
    04.04.2026 Ulinzi Stars - APS Bomet 0:1
    29.03.2026 Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka 2:0
    Latest results of Tusker
    24.04.2026 Tusker - Mara Sugar 0:1
    18.04.2026 Tusker - Sofapaka 0:0
    14.04.2026 Tusker - Gor Mahia 1:0
    10.04.2026 Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks 1:2
    03.04.2026 Police FC - Tusker 1:0