Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 2, ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
41.2%
Draw
33.1%
Ulinzi Stars
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 31.4% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 30.2% 24.8%

Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.2
(2.14)
2.74
(2.91)
3.54
(3.54)
10.2%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.
  • Recent performances by Sofapaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Ulinzi Stars's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Sofapaka could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
04.04.2025 Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka 0:1
07.12.2024 Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars 4:1
13.04.2024 Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars 1:1
24.09.2023 Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka 1:0
13.04.2023 Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars 2:2
Latest results of Sofapaka
15.11.2025 Bandari - Sofapaka 2:0
10.11.2025 Sofapaka - Posta Rangers 2:0
05.11.2025 Police FC - Sofapaka 1:0
01.11.2025 Nairobi United - Sofapaka 0:3
28.10.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 2:2
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Police FC116329:6321
2Gor Mahia1162314:8620
3Kakamega Homeboyz1255216:12420
4Posta Rangers1355314:15-120
5Shabana1254314:11319
6Leopards1146111:8318
7KCB1253411:9218
8Tusker1253410:10018
9Mara Sugar1245310:7317
10Mathare Utd134368:11-315
11Bidco United133557:10-314
12Nairobi United941411:11013
13Bandari122739:9013
14APS Bomet1234511:13-213
15Ulinzi Stars1334611:14-313
16Muranga1226411:13-212
17Sofapaka1233611:14-312
18Kariobangi Sharks121567:14-78

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Super League