Result
1:3
24/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
41.2% | Draw
33.1% | Ulinzi Stars
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.14) |
2.74 ↓
(2.91) |
3.54
(3.54) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.
- Recent performances by Sofapaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ulinzi Stars's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sofapaka could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Ulinzi Stars?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
04.04.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
0:1
07.12.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
4:1
13.04.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
24.09.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
1:0
13.04.2023
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
2:2
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
