Result
2:0
29/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ulinzi Stars
46.3% | Draw
31.1% | Sofapaka
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulinzi Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofapaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
2.9 ↓
(2.99) |
4 ↑
(3.84) |
10.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 2.
- Ulinzi Stars is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sofapaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ulinzi Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ulinzi Stars could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Ulinzi Stars?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka were as follows:
24.11.2025
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:3
04.04.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
0:1
07.12.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
4:1
13.04.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
24.09.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
1:0
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
