Result
1:3
24/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka 41.2% | Draw 33.1% | Ulinzi Stars 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (2.14) |
2.74 ↓ (2.91) |
3.54 (3.54) |
10.2% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.
- Recent performances by Sofapaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ulinzi Stars's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sofapaka could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Ulinzi Stars?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
04.04.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
0:1
07.12.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
4:1
13.04.2024
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
24.09.2023
Ulinzi Stars
-
Sofapaka
1:0
13.04.2023
Sofapaka
-
Ulinzi Stars
2:2
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Police FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Posta Rangers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Shabana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Leopards | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | KCB | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tusker | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Mathare Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Bidco United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Nairobi United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Bandari | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Muranga | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Sofapaka | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Kariobangi Sharks | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League