Result
6:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, Sport 1, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 79% (295/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 79% (295/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (77/106) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | -2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gaal T. ⚽, Strompf P. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
- 35', Muheim M. 🟨,
- 36', Telalovic S. (Pen),
- 40', Sahiti E. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Sahiti E. (A),
- 45+4', 3 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Keller A. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
- 46', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 49', 4 - 1, Strompf P. (Own goal),
- 61', Gaal T. 🟨,
- 62', 5 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
- 67', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
- 67', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
- 69', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 69', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 73', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
- 80', Poreba L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
- 80', Muheim M. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 84', Rosch R. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
- 87', 6 - 1, Elfadli D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
- 89', Higl F. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
68.6% | Draw
17.6% | Ulm 1846
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.36) |
5.33 ↑
(5.16) |
6.9 ↓
(7.52) |
5.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Ulm (1.86) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2 - Hamburg (2.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Hamburg (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamburger SV will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 9 - 75%). Ulm (votes: 3 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hamburg is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Schonlau S.
(Yellow Cards)
Soumahoro A.
(Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Ulm: Reichert J.
(Knock)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Ulm 1846?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Hamburger SV?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
14.12.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Hamburger SV
1:1
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
