Hamburger SV vs Ulm 1846 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 33
Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	2.27
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
81% (281/345)	79% (295/372)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	2.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.92	1.82
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
17	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
5	10
Passes
81% (281/345)	79% (295/372)
Long passes
41% (16/39)	44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)	65% (68/105)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.65
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
10	5
Tackles
79% (11/14)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
36	41
Clearances
25	10
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.82	2.92
Goals prevented
0.82	-2.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gaal T. ⚽, Strompf P. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
35', Muheim M. 🟨,
36', Telalovic S. (Pen),
40', Sahiti E. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Sahiti E. (A),
45+4', 3 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Keller A. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
46', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
49', 4 - 1, Strompf P. (Own goal),
61', Gaal T. 🟨,
62', 5 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
67', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
67', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
69', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
69', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
73', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
80', Poreba L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
80', Muheim M. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
84', Rosch R. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
87', 6 - 1, Elfadli D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
89', Higl F. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
68.6%

Draw
17.6%

Ulm 1846
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	5.33 ↑ (5.16)	6.9 ↓ (7.52)	5.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 56.3% – 96.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 - Ulm (votes: 3 - 75%).

AH -2 - Hamburg (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hamburg is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Yellow Cards) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Ulm: Reichert J. (Knock)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Ulm 1846?

Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Hamburger SV?

Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 were as follows:

14.12.2024 Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV 1:1

Latest results of Hamburger SV

03.05.2025 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 0:4 ✺

27.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Ulm 1846

03.05.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hannover 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Ulm 1846 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin 2:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SG Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Schalke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Hannover	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hertha Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga