Result
6:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, Sport 1, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 2.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (281/345) | 79% (295/372) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 2.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.92 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (281/345) | 79% (295/372) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (16/39) | 44% (23/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (77/106) | 65% (68/105) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/15) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 0.65 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 2.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.82 | -2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gaal T. ⚽, Strompf P. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
- 35', Muheim M. 🟨,
- 36', Telalovic S. (Pen),
- 40', Sahiti E. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Sahiti E. (A),
- 45+4', 3 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Keller A. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
- 46', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 49', 4 - 1, Strompf P. (Own goal),
- 61', Gaal T. 🟨,
- 62', 5 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
- 67', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
- 67', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
- 69', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 69', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 73', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
- 80', Poreba L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
- 80', Muheim M. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 84', Rosch R. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
- 87', 6 - 1, Elfadli D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
- 89', Higl F. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV 68.6% | Draw 17.6% | Ulm 1846 13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↑ (1.36) |
5.33 ↑ (5.16) |
6.9 ↓ (7.52) |
5.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Ulm (votes: 3 - 75%).
- AH -2 - Hamburg (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hamburg is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Schonlau S.
(Yellow Cards)
Soumahoro A.
(Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Ulm: Reichert J.
(Knock)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Ulm 1846?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Hamburger SV?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
14.12.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Hamburger SV
1:1
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Schalke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga