Rot-Weiß Essen vs Ulm 1846 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 19
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, SWR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
86
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
108
Throw-ins
2824
Fouls
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Gjasula K. , Hofmann J. (A),
  • 26', Seegert M. , Boller J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Kolle N. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 38', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Loder E. , Chessa D. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 2, Mizuta K. ,
  • 68', Janssen M. 🟨,
  • 68', Janssen M. , Safi R. ,
  • 73', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 73', Besong P. , Westermeier B. ,
  • 73', Mizuta K. , Brumme L. ,
  • 73', Musel T. , Obuz M. ,
  • 81', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 81', Mause J. 🟨,
  • 81', Gjasula K. 🟨,
  • 83', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 84', Moustier T. , Swajkowski G. ,
  • 87', Pepic M. , Etse J. ,
  • 87', Chessa D. , Scholze M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Essen
57%
Draw
22.6%
Ulm 1846
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.2% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.2% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.59)
    4.13
    (4.14)
    4.58
    (4.69)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ulm (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Rot-Weiß Essen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ulm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rot-Weiß Essen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 0:2
    24.09.2023 Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück 3:5
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

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