Rot-Weiß Essen vs Ulm 1846 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 19
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, SWR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
86
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
108
Throw-ins
2824
Fouls
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Gjasula K. , Hofmann J. (A),
  • 26', Seegert M. , Boller J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Kolle N. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 38', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Loder E. , Chessa D. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 2, Mizuta K. ,
  • 68', Janssen M. 🟨,
  • 68', Janssen M. , Safi R. ,
  • 73', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 73', Besong P. , Westermeier B. ,
  • 73', Mizuta K. , Brumme L. ,
  • 73', Musel T. , Obuz M. ,
  • 81', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 81', Mause J. 🟨,
  • 81', Gjasula K. 🟨,
  • 83', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 84', Moustier T. , Swajkowski G. ,
  • 87', Pepic M. , Etse J. ,
  • 87', Chessa D. , Scholze M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Essen
57%
Draw
22.6%
Ulm 1846
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.2% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.2% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.59)
    4.13
    (4.14)
    4.58
    (4.69)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ulm (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Rot-Weiß Essen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ulm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rot-Weiß Essen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 0:2
    24.09.2023 Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück 3:5
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to