Rot-Weiß Essen vs Ulm 1846 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 19
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, SWR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
86
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
125
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
108
Throw-ins
2824
Fouls
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Gjasula K. , Hofmann J. (A),
  • 26', Seegert M. , Boller J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Kolle N. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 38', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Loder E. , Chessa D. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 2, Mizuta K. ,
  • 68', Janssen M. 🟨,
  • 68', Janssen M. , Safi R. ,
  • 73', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 73', Besong P. , Westermeier B. ,
  • 73', Mizuta K. , Brumme L. ,
  • 73', Musel T. , Obuz M. ,
  • 81', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 81', Mause J. 🟨,
  • 81', Gjasula K. 🟨,
  • 83', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 84', Moustier T. , Swajkowski G. ,
  • 87', Pepic M. , Etse J. ,
  • 87', Chessa D. , Scholze M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Essen
57%
Draw
22.6%
Ulm 1846
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.2% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.2% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.59)
    4.13
    (4.14)
    4.58
    (4.69)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ulm (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Rot-Weiß Essen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ulm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rot-Weiß Essen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 0:2
    24.09.2023 Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    12.12.2025 Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück 3:5
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck ✔ 36237661:303176
    2Cottbus36199869:501966
    3Duisburg36199865:481766
    4RW Essen361810874:641064
    5Verl361710979:473261
    6Hansa Rostock361613765:432261
    7Alemannia Aachen361771267:561158
    8Munich 18603615111053:48556
    9Wehen361481451:50150
    10Viktoria Koln361551650:49150
    11Regensburg361471554:56-249
    12Mannheim361471557:67-1049
    13Stuttgart II361371651:60-946
    14Saarbrucken3610141246:50-444
    15Ingolstadt3611101558:54443
    16Hoffenheim II361171862:67-540
    17TSV Havelse ✔ 36882053:81-2832
    18Ulm ✔ 36952246:74-2832
    19Aue ✔ 366121847:68-2130
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 36562534:80-4621

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
    TSV Havelse is Relegated to
    Ulm is Relegated to
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to