Ulsan HD vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.40
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
738
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Long passes
41% (24/59)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
72% (62/86)76% (180/236)
Crosses
33% (2/6)21% (9/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.44
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1117
Tackles
44% (4/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
6417
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.400.23
Goals prevented
0.40-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok , Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Kato M. ,
  • 62', Arai N. , Germain V. ,
  • 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
  • 74', Kinoshita K. , Suga D. ,
  • 74', Cho Hyun-Taek , Park Min-Seo ,
  • 74', Lee H. , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 75', Lacava M. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 82', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 83', Nakano S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 83', Kawabe H. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 86', Trojak M. , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 86', Choi Seok-Hyun , Marcao ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yfvrtufc

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
27.7%
Draw
26.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 26.5% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.7% 44.1%

Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(2.99)
3.57
(3.48)
2.06
(2.16)
5.8%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
    • Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    18.10.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 2:0
    05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 3:0
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)