Ulsan HD vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.40
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
738
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Long passes
41% (24/59)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
72% (62/86)76% (180/236)
Crosses
33% (2/6)21% (9/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.44
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1117
Tackles
44% (4/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
6417
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.400.23
Goals prevented
0.40-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok , Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Kato M. ,
  • 62', Arai N. , Germain V. ,
  • 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
  • 74', Kinoshita K. , Suga D. ,
  • 74', Cho Hyun-Taek , Park Min-Seo ,
  • 74', Lee H. , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 75', Lacava M. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 82', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 83', Nakano S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 83', Kawabe H. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 86', Trojak M. , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 86', Choi Seok-Hyun , Marcao ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yfvrtufc

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
27.7%
Draw
26.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 26.5% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.7% 44.1%

Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(2.99)
3.57
(3.48)
2.06
(2.16)
5.8%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Ulsan (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Hiroshima (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Hiroshima (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Hiroshima (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
    • Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    18.10.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 2:0
    05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 3:0
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 751114:6816
    2Machida742112:5714
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima74218:4414
    4Buriram73228:8011
    5Melbourne City63127:6110
    6Seoul72328:719
    7Johor DT72237:708
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng71335:8-36
    11Shanghai Shenhua71155:11-64
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 761015:51019
    2Al Ahli SC ✔ 742117:61114
    3Tractor ✔ 742110:4614
    4Al Wahda ✔ 742110:5514
    5Al Ittihad740318:81012
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai732211:10111
    7Al-Duhail722314:1318
    8Al-Sadd722311:12-18
    9Al Sharjah72237:14-78
    10Al-Gharafa72057:19-126
    11Al Shorta70253:18-152
    12Nasaf Qarshi70167:16-91

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)