Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (326/412) | 84% (455/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (326/412) | 84% (455/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (62/86) | 76% (180/236) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 21% (9/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 64 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok ⚽, Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Maeda N. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 62', Arai N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
- 74', Kinoshita K. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 74', Cho Hyun-Taek ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
- 74', Lee H. ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 75', Lacava M. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 82', Shiotani T. 🟨,
- 83', Nakano S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
- 83', Kawabe H. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
- 86', Trojak M. ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,
- 86', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Marcao ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yfvrtufc
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
27.7% | Draw
26.5% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.99) |
3.57 ↑
(3.48) |
2.06 ↓
(2.16) |
5.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
- Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Ulsan HD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Ulsan HD?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ulsan HD | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gangwon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Seoul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Johor DT | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Buriram | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Wahda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Tractor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Al Sharjah | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Gharafa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Al-Sadd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Duhail | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
