Ulsan HD vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.40
Total shots
321
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
738
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
79% (326/412)84% (455/542)
Long passes
41% (24/59)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
72% (62/86)76% (180/236)
Crosses
33% (2/6)21% (9/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.44
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1117
Tackles
44% (4/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
6417
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.400.23
Goals prevented
0.40-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok , Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Kato M. ,
  • 62', Arai N. , Germain V. ,
  • 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
  • 74', Kinoshita K. , Suga D. ,
  • 74', Cho Hyun-Taek , Park Min-Seo ,
  • 74', Lee H. , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 75', Lacava M. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 82', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 83', Nakano S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 83', Kawabe H. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 86', Trojak M. , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 86', Choi Seok-Hyun , Marcao ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yfvrtufc

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
27.7%
Draw
26.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 26.5% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.7% 44.1%

Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(2.99)
3.57
(3.48)
2.06
(2.16)
5.8%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
    • Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    18.10.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 2:0
    05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 3:0
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida ✔ 632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 63216:3311
    4Melbourne City ✔ 63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 660015:51018
    2Tractor ✔ 642010:2814
    3Al Ahli SC641117:61113
    4Al Wahda ✔ 641110:5513
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai631211:10110
    6Al Ittihad630311:839
    7Al-Duhail621313:1217
    8Al Sharjah62136:13-77
    9Al-Gharafa62047:12-56
    10Al-Sadd61239:12-35
    11Al Shorta60152:17-151
    12Nasaf Qarshi60066:15-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)