Daegu vs Ulsan HD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Daegu - Ulsan HD
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1315
Fouls
1413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Jeong Heon-taek 🟨,
  • 23', Jung Seung-Hyun 🟨,
  • 36', Bojanic D. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Cesinha , Bruno Lamas (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kang Sang-Woo , Choi Seok-Hyun ,
  • 51', Hwang Jae-Won 🟨,
  • 58', Erick Farias , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Baek In-Woo , Um Won-Sang (A),
  • 66', Kim Ju-Gong , Reis G. ,
  • 66', Park Dae-Hoon , Jeong Chi-In ,
  • 66', Hong Jung-Woon , Kim Hyeon-jun ,
  • 71', Bojanic D. , Lee Jin-Hyun ,
  • 71', Baek In-Woo , Ludwigson G. ,
  • 82', Park Min-Seo , Lee H. ,
  • 90+2', Jeong Heon-taek , Edgar ,
  • 90+2', Bruno Lamas , Lee Yong-Rae ,
  • 90+2', Ko Seung-Beom 🟨,

Chances of winning


Daegu
24.7%
Draw
26.1%
Ulsan HD
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 22.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 23.5% 57.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulsan HD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulsan HD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daegu - Ulsan HD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.81
    (4.31)
    3.62
    (4.2)
    1.92
    (1.72)
    5.9%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Daegu - Ulsan HD?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Ulsan will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ulsan HD will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Daegu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daegu - Ulsan HD were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Ulsan HD - Daegu 2:2
    13.04.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 0:1
    10.08.2024 Ulsan HD - Daegu 1:0
    26.06.2024 Ulsan HD - Daegu 1:0
    01.05.2024 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:2
    Latest results of Daegu
    20.09.2025 Daejeon Citizen - Daegu 3:2
    14.09.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 1:2
    30.08.2025 Daegu - Suwon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Daegu - Jeju 2:2
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    13.09.2025 Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD 1:1
    24.08.2025 FC Seoul - Ulsan HD 3:2
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 32208455:272868
    2Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ 32167952:331955
    3Daejeon ✔ 321410845:40552
    4Pohang ✔ 321461238:42-448
    5Seoul321112942:40245
    6Gangwon3211101130:34-443
    7Gwangju FC321191234:38-442
    8Anyang ✔ 321161538:40-239
    9Suwon FC ✔ 321081448:51-338
    10Ulsan HD ✔ 329101337:43-637
    11Jeju SK ✔ 32881634:44-1032
    12Daegu ✔ 32681839:60-2126

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Pohang is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Anyang is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Suwon FC is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Ulsan HD is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )