Result
21:10
28/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 10)
- 2nd Half (14 - 0)
Chances of winning
Ospreys
32% | Draw
4.3% | Ulster
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Ospreys - Ulster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.04) |
21.48 ↑
(20.55) |
1.44 ↑
(1.43) |
8.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Ulster?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:27.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.
- Ospreys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ulster is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Ospreys has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ulster is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 288:449. (average 14.4:22.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 169:180. (average 18.8:20).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Ulster?
Ospreys has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulster won against Ospreys?
Ulster has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Ulster were as follows:
18.10.2024
Ulster
-
Ospreys
36:12
18.02.2024
Ospreys
-
Ulster
19:17
08.10.2022
Ulster
-
Ospreys
47:17
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
