Result
0:1
06/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (320/384) | 83% (363/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (320/384) | 83% (363/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/117) | 64% (74/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Pena A. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 19', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Ruiz J. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 63', Medina A. 🟨,
- 67', Juninho ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 68', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
- 78', Carrillo J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 82', Lara E. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
- 89', Medina A. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
- 89', Morales R. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
- 89', Gutierrez K. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
- 89', Rossano F. ↓, Casas B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
33.8% | Draw
26.8% | UNAM
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNAM's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNAM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Necaxa - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.26) |
3.51 ↓
(3.56) |
2.41 ↓
(2.98) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - UNAM?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - UNAM (1.69) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - UNAM (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
UNAM will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): UNAM will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). UNAM (votes: 13 - 92.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- Necaxa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UNAM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in UNAM: Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Trigos S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against UNAM?
Necaxa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Necaxa?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - UNAM were as follows:
10.08.2025
UNAM
-
Necaxa
1:1
12.01.2025
UNAM
-
Necaxa
2:1
13.09.2024
Necaxa
-
UNAM
2:0
31.01.2024
UNAM
-
Necaxa
2:2
27.10.2023
Necaxa
-
UNAM
1:0
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
