UNAM vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Necaxa
10/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


UNAM
47.2%
Draw
26.1%
Necaxa
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 25.6% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 24.8% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • UNAM - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.98)
    3.54
    (3.67)
    3.53
    (3.47)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • UNAM will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Necaxa were as follows:
    12.01.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 2:1
    13.09.2024 Necaxa - UNAM 2:0
    31.01.2024 UNAM - Necaxa 2:2
    27.10.2023 Necaxa - UNAM 1:0
    15.02.2023 Necaxa - UNAM 3:1
    Latest results of UNAM
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    25.07.2025 Querétaro - UNAM 0:2
    20.07.2025 UNAM - Pachuca 2:3
    12.07.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Necaxa - Atlanta United 3:1
    26.07.2025 Necaxa - Club América 1:1
    18.07.2025 Necaxa - Querétaro 3:1
    12.07.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca33007:259
    2Toluca320110:736
    3Tigres UANL22005:326
    4Monterrey32014:406
    5Cruz Azul31207:435
    6Club America31205:325
    7Necaxa31115:504
    8Mazatlan FC31112:204
    9Atlas31117:8-14
    10Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    11Santos Laguna31025:503
    12Guadalajara Chivas21014:403
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Puebla31024:5-13
    15UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    16Club Leon31022:5-33
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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