Result
1:1
10/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/504) | 72% (187/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (435/504) | 72% (187/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (135/168) | 41% (21/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cortez R. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Duarte R. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
- 62', Badaloni T. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 62', Monreal R. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, De Buen D. ⚽,
- 73', Trigos S. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 74', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
- 76', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 81', Martinez G. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 85', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 87', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
- 88', De Buen D. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
Chances of winning
UNAM
45.9% | Draw
27.1% | Necaxa
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
UNAM - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.98) |
3.47 ↓
(3.67) |
3.48 ↑
(3.47) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Necaxa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Necaxa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in UNAM: Angulo A.
(Red Card)
Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Necaxa?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against UNAM?
Necaxa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Necaxa were as follows:
12.01.2025
UNAM
-
Necaxa
2:1
13.09.2024
Necaxa
-
UNAM
2:0
31.01.2024
UNAM
-
Necaxa
2:2
27.10.2023
Necaxa
-
UNAM
1:0
15.02.2023
Necaxa
-
UNAM
3:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
