Result
3:1
20/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Play In - Semi-finals
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (307/368) | 88% (464/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (307/368) | 88% (464/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/101) | 76% (122/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Valencia E. ⚽, Bautista A. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Kenedy ⚽, Valencia E. (A),
- 45+2', Monroy P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lopez S. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 46', Monroy P. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Kenedy ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
- 57', Valencia E. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
- 58', Kenedy ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 63', Medina A. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Vite P. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
- 77', Idrissi O. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 77', Quinones L. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
- 84', Lopez R. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 84', Caicedo J. ↓, Villasenor E. ↑,
- 87', Bautista A. ↓, Carvalho W. ↑,
- 90', Trigos S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
47.9% | Draw
26.3% | UNAM
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Pachuca - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.05) |
3.65 ↑
(3.5) |
3.63 ↑
(3.25) |
5.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pachuca - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 50%). UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - UNAM (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - UNAM (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 25%). UNAM (votes: 6 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
- Pachuca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- UNAM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against UNAM?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Pachuca?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - UNAM were as follows:
20.07.2025
UNAM
-
Pachuca
2:3
16.02.2025
Pachuca
-
UNAM
2:1
21.07.2024
UNAM
-
Pachuca
2:0
02.05.2024
Pachuca
-
UNAM
0:1
28.01.2024
UNAM
-
Pachuca
3:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
