Result
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
União da Serra 47% | Draw 28.5% | Marinhense 24.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for União da Serra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Marinhense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União da Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
União da Serra - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 (1.85) |
3.05 (3.05) |
3.55 (3.55) |
15% (15%) | |
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- União da Serra is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marinhense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- União da Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- União da Serra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Marinhense?
União da Serra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against União da Serra?
Marinhense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - Marinhense were as follows:
29.11.2025
Marinhense
-
União da Serra
1:1
19.02.2023
Marinhense
-
União da Serra
1:0
06.11.2022
União da Serra
-
Marinhense
1:2
Latest results of União da Serra
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 29:11 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Peniche | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Lajense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 17 |
| 13 | Electrico | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:53 | -26 | 16 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation