Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia
18.7% | Draw
24.9% | União da Serra
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-4%)
SC Lusitânia - União da Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.84 ↑
(3.95) |
3.63 ↑
(3.45) |
1.61 ↓
(1.79) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for SC Lusitânia - União da Serra?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - União da Serra (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- União da Serra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, União da Serra is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against União da Serra?
SC Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against SC Lusitânia?
União da Serra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - União da Serra were as follows:
09.11.2025
União da Serra
-
SC Lusitânia
2:0
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
