União da Serra vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
52
Red Cards
01
Total shots
136
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 2 - 0, ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


União da Serra
48.9%
Draw
27.8%
SC Lusitânia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 26.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • União da Serra - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.97)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.92
    (3.47)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • União da Serra could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of União da Serra
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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