União de Santarém vs Atlético CP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
13
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
75
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Aguas G. ,
  • 33', Henriques D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Aguas G. , Goncalves E. F. ,
  • 65', Paulinho , Pereira R. ,
  • 65', Herrera J. , Pascoal C. ,
  • 74', Teixeira R. , Monteiro D. ,
  • 74', Eberth , Bamba ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 79', Sousa C. , Santos R. ,
  • 80', Henriques D. , Marques R. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Caleb ,
  • 83', Ventura B. , Madeira T. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Barandas M. , Silva D. ,

Chances of winning


União de Santarém
29.7%
Draw
32.6%
Atlético CP
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 32.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 33.9% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • União de Santarém - Atlético CP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.23)
    2.78
    (2.82)
    2.41
    (2.29)
    10.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Santarém is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético CP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santarém won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Atlético CP were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Atlético CP - União de Santarém 1:2
    10.11.2024 Atlético CP - União de Santarém 1:0
    10.08.2024 União de Santarém - Atlético CP 2:0
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )