Lusitano GC vs União de Santarém – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
111
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
111
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Cande B. 🟨,
  • 43', Nanco I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nanco I. , Bamba ,
  • 60', Cande B. , Gomes A. ,
  • 71', Reis N. , Madeira T. ,
  • 76', Almara F. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 79', Castro T. , Medalli N. ,
  • 86', Lopes D. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Santana C. ,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
46.6%
Draw
29%
União de Santarém
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 28.2% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.1% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Lusitano GC - União de Santarém Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.92)
    3.19
    (3.3)
    3.77
    (4.01)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lusitano GC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lusitano GC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - União de Santarém were as follows:
    09.08.2025 União de Santarém - Lusitano GC 1:0
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    01.11.2025 Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
    04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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