Once Caldas vs Unión Española – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Once Caldas - Unión Española
Result
1:0
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 2
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.30
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (381/470)83% (380/458)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.16
Total shots
229
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
116
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
146
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
910
Passes
81% (381/470)83% (380/458)
Long passes
48% (30/63)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
72% (122/169)66% (83/125)
Crosses
11% (1/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.49
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
109
Tackles
83% (10/12)38% (5/13)
Duels won
3243
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.160.81
Goals prevented
0.16-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Palacios L. , Garcia Castillo A. (A),
  • 35', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Palacios L. 🟨,
  • 56', Ramirez S. 🟨,
  • 58', Vasquez R. , Ovelar F. ,
  • 63', Garcia Castillo A. , Beltran E. ,
  • 70', Pereira S. , Norambuena G. ,
  • 74', Garcia M. , Diaz J. ,
  • 82', Barrios M. , Contreras J. ,
  • 82', Rojas I. , Garcia J. ,
  • 82', Suarez M. , Carvallo U. B. A. ,
  • 90+3', Diaz J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
61.7%
Draw
23%
Unión Española
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 25.6% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 25% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.
  • Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Once Caldas - Unión Española Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.67)
    4.09
    (3.69)
    6.07
    (5.29)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Unión Española?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Unión Española's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Once Caldas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Unión Española were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Unión Española - Once Caldas 0:2
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Latest results of Unión Española
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2