Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 73% (217/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 73% (217/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 44% (30/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (82/117) | 58% (64/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Iguaran C. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 73', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
- 73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 73', Mosquera D. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
- 74', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 74', Barrios M. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
- 88', Garcia M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 88', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 90+2', Riquett J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Riquett J. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mwan9ueu
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
64.5% | Draw
22.2% | Unión Magdalena
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.41) |
4.22 ↓
(4.25) |
6.97 ↓
(7.22) |
7.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
- Recent form of Once Caldas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Magdalena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Once Caldas is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Unión Magdalena?
Once Caldas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Once Caldas?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
04.05.2025
Unión Magdalena
-
Once Caldas
Abandoned
18.09.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Once Caldas
1:1
08.04.2023
Once Caldas
-
Unión Magdalena
1:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
