Unión Española vs Universidad Católica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile).

Liga de Primera - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.51
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
7	7
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
80% (349/435)	80% (334/418)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.88	1.01
Total shots
7	7
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
11	6
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
80% (349/435)	80% (334/418)
Long passes
48% (22/46)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)	71% (69/97)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.40
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
62% (8/13)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
44	41
Clearances Total
16	27
Interceptions
11	17
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.01	0.88
Goals prevented
-0.99	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Valencia D. (A),
42', Ampuero B. 🟨,
45', Valencia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vasquez R. ↓, Aranguiz P. ↑,
46', Ovelar F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
46', Jader ↓, Bello E. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Bello E. ⚽, Canales A. (A),
68', Medel G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
69', Valencia D. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
69', Nunez I. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
70', Espinoza F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Aranguiz P. (Pen),
79', Diaz N. 🟨,
83', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,
83', Vidal V. 🟨,
84', Valencia J. 🟨,
85', Cuevas C. ↓, Mena E. ↑,
90+1', Canales A. ↓, Farias A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Unión Española
33.1%

Draw
27.4%

Universidad Católica
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Española - Universidad Católica Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.45)	3.42 ↑ (3.32)	2.38 ↓ (2.72)	6.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Unión Española - Universidad Católica?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
Recent matches Unión Española is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Uni Católica is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Uni Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:29 (average 1.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Universidad Católica?

Unión Española has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión Española?

Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Universidad Católica were as follows:

29.09.2024 Universidad Católica - Unión Española 0:2

04.05.2024 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 1:2

31.08.2023 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 2:2

12.03.2023 Universidad Católica - Unión Española 2:2

19.10.2022 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 1:2

Latest results of Unión Española

21.03.2025 Unión Española - Audax Italiano 0:0 ✺

05.03.2025 Unión Española - Everton de Viña 3:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Deportes La Serena - Unión Española 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Unión Española - Palestino 0:3 ✺

17.02.2025 Unión La Calera - Unión Española 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica

21.03.2025 Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera 0:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Ñublense - Universidad Católica 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Universidad Católica - Palestino 1:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica 1:0 ✺

Chilean Primera Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coquimbo	16	10	5	1	23:8	15	35
2	A. Italiano	16	10	3	3	29:19	10	33
3	U. De Chile	16	10	2	4	35:16	19	32
4	Palestino	15	8	4	3	22:14	8	28
5	U. Catolica	16	7	5	4	23:15	8	26
6	O'Higgins	16	7	5	4	16:17	-1	26
7	Colo Colo	16	7	3	6	26:18	8	24
8	Cobresal	15	6	5	4	19:18	1	23
9	Union La Calera	16	6	4	6	16:14	2	22
10	Huachipato	16	6	3	7	22:24	-2	21
11	Nublense	16	3	8	5	16:24	-8	17
12	La Serena	16	5	2	9	20:29	-9	17
13	Everton	16	3	6	7	15:25	-10	15
14	Limache	16	3	5	8	17:23	-6	14
15	U. Espanola	16	3	1	12	15:30	-15	10
16	Deportes Iquique	16	1	3	12	16:36	-20	6

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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      Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso