Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (349/435) | 80% (334/418) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.88 | 1.01 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (349/435) | 80% (334/418) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (22/46) | 45% (23/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (72/114) | 71% (69/97) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 0.40 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 41 |
Clearances Total |
---|
16 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.01 | 0.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.99 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Valencia D. (A),
- 42', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 45', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vasquez R. ↓, Aranguiz P. ↑,
- 46', Ovelar F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
- 46', Jader ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 2, Bello E. ⚽, Canales A. (A),
- 68', Medel G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 69', Valencia D. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
- 69', Nunez I. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
- 70', Espinoza F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Aranguiz P. (Pen),
- 79', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 83', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,
- 83', Vidal V. 🟨,
- 84', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 85', Cuevas C. ↓, Mena E. ↑,
- 90+1', Canales A. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión Española 33.1% | Draw 27.4% | Universidad Católica 39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Española - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↑ (2.45) |
3.42 ↑ (3.32) |
2.38 ↓ (2.72) |
6.7% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Española - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
- Recent matches Unión Española is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Uni Católica is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Uni Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:29 (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Universidad Católica?
Unión Española has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión Española?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Universidad Católica were as follows:
29.09.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión Española
0:2
04.05.2024
Unión Española
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
31.08.2023
Unión Española
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
12.03.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Unión Española
2:2
19.10.2022
Unión Española
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
Latest results of Unión Española
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso