Unión Española vs Universidad Católica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Unión Española - Universidad Católica
Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.51
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (349/435)80% (334/418)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.01
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
116
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
80% (349/435)80% (334/418)
Long passes
48% (22/46)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)71% (69/97)
Crosses
28% (5/18)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.40
Fouls
1317
Tackles
62% (8/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4441
Clearances Total
1627
Interceptions
1117
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.010.88
Goals prevented
-0.99-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. , Valencia D. (A),
  • 42', Ampuero B. 🟨,
  • 45', Valencia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vasquez R. , Aranguiz P. ,
  • 46', Ovelar F. , Marin M. ,
  • 46', Jader , Bello E. ,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Bello E. , Canales A. (A),
  • 68', Medel G. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 69', Valencia D. , Montes C. ,
  • 69', Nunez I. , Carvallo U. B. A. ,
  • 70', Espinoza F. , Norambuena G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Aranguiz P. (Pen),
  • 79', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 83', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,
  • 83', Vidal V. 🟨,
  • 84', Valencia J. 🟨,
  • 85', Cuevas C. , Mena E. ,
  • 90+1', Canales A. , Farias A. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Española
33.1%
Draw
27.4%
Universidad Católica
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.6% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión Española - Universidad Católica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.45)
    3.42
    (3.32)
    2.38
    (2.72)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Unión Española - Universidad Católica?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
    • Recent matches Unión Española is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Uni Católica is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Uni Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:29 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Universidad Católica were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Universidad Católica - Unión Española 0:2
    04.05.2024 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 1:2
    31.08.2023 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 2:2
    12.03.2023 Universidad Católica - Unión Española 2:2
    19.10.2022 Unión Española - Universidad Católica 1:2
    Latest results of Unión Española
    Latest results of Universidad Católica
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo16105123:81535
    2A. Italiano16103329:191033
    3U. De Chile16102435:161932
    4Palestino1584322:14828
    5U. Catolica1675423:15826
    6O'Higgins1675416:17-126
    7Colo Colo1673626:18824
    8Cobresal1565419:18123
    9Union La Calera1664616:14222
    10Huachipato1663722:24-221
    11Nublense1638516:24-817
    12La Serena1652920:29-917
    13Everton1636715:25-1015
    14Limache1635817:23-614
    15U. Espanola16311215:30-1510
    16Deportes Iquique16131216:36-206

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso