Result
3:1
09/05/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/511) | 78% (229/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/511) | 78% (229/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (35/70) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (102/146) | 61% (27/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -2.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Perez K. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Perez K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Barreto O. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 46', Penaloza J. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
- 59', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 73', Perez K. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 73', Arroyo A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 79', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
- 79', Nieto J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 81', Molina F. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
- 81', Murillo D. ↓, Mera D. ↑,
- 81', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 84', Marquez R. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
- 87', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 90+1', Payares M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdhnxs9h
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
66.5% | Draw
22.7% | Unión Magdalena
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.36) |
4.14 ↓
(4.4) |
8.67 ↑
(7.75) |
6.7%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Unión Magdalena?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Deportes Tolima?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
27.10.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
13.05.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Once Caldas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
