Unión Magdalena vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.18	1.65
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	5
Passes
78% (213/273)	88% (468/532)
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.18	1.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	2.06
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
10	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
78% (213/273)	88% (468/532)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	64% (29/45)
Passes in final third
61% (53/87)	79% (125/158)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	1.17
Throw-ins
13	14
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
92% (11/12)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
25	28
Clearances
16	13
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.06	0.04
Goals prevented
0.06	-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Parra Osorio A. (Pen),
36', Urrego Hector 🟥,
41', Iguaran C. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
64', Hinojosa R. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
64', Mercado J. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
68', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
68', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
76', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
76', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
80', Marquez R. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
80', Cantillo F. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4a59awvj

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
23.6%

Draw
28.5%

Deportes Tolima
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.48)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	7.8% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportes Tolima will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportes Tolima might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Deportes Tolima?

Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Unión Magdalena?

Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

09.05.2025 Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena 3:1

27.10.2023 Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena 2:1

13.05.2023 Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima 1:1

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

25.10.2025 Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Envigado 3:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

25.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 2:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 2:3 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )