Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
41.7%
Draw
29.4%
Deportivo Cali
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.6% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 28.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.96)
    3.16
    (3.25)
    3.21
    (3.9)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
    • Deportes Tolima is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Cali is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Deportes Tolima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 2:1
    03.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    07.09.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 1:1
    26.02.2024 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:2
    29.11.2023 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 0:2
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Latest results of Deportivo Cali
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 18131435:142140
    2Dep. Pasto ✔ 18104426:21534
    3Junior ✔ 18102627:21632
    4Deportes Tolima ✔ 1886426:161030
    5America De Cali ✔ 1893624:15930
    6Once Caldas ✔ 1879230:22830
    7Inter Bogotu00e11877425:23228
    8Santa Fe1868426:21526
    9Dep. Cali1875619:15426
    10Ind. Medellin1875625:22326
    11Millonarios1874729:21825
    12Bucaramanga1858525:18723
    13Aguilas1865718:24-623
    14Llaneros18410417:17022
    15Fortaleza1847720:26-619
    16Cucuta1837822:33-1116
    17Alianza1837811:25-1416
    18Jaguares de Cordoba18431118:33-1515
    19Chico18421212:32-2014
    20Pereira18171015:31-1610

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )