Result
4:4
10/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (276/376) | 66% (191/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 3.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (276/376) | 66% (191/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (41/73) | 30% (24/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (77/143) | 57% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.01 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -1.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 14', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 3, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Pussetto I. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 3, Avalos G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 63', Pussetto I. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 4, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Del Blanco M. (A),
- 68', 3 - 4, Avalos G. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
- 71', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 71', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
- 76', Fedorco J. 🟨,
- 81', Abaldo M. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
- 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 82', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
- 86', Tarragona C. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
- 90+9', 4 - 4, Fedorco J. ⚽, Lomonaco K. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente
45% | Draw
29.5% | Unión Santa Fe
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Independiente have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Independiente - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.1) |
3.16 ↑
(3.1) |
3.71 ↓
(3.85) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Palavecino N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Unión: Cuello B.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Unión Santa Fe?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Independiente?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
05.11.2024
Independiente
-
Unión Santa Fe
3:0
24.06.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Independiente
3:0
19.09.2022
Unión Santa Fe
-
Independiente
0:1
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
