Result
1:3
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/449) | 59% (166/279) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/449) | 59% (166/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (36/63) | 29% (21/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/111) | 41% (42/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 70% (23/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.83 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
- 30', Vargas L. 🟨,
- 31', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 35', Zabala C. 🟨,
- 38', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 46', Villalba C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 46', Salle S. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Tarragona C. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
- 56', 1 - 3, Marabel J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
- 63', Profini R. ↓, Giaccone E. ↑,
- 63', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 70', Contrera J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 70', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
- 70', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 78', Tarragona C. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
- 83', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
- 87', Zabala C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 90', Renteria J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
27.8% | Draw
33% | Unión Santa Fe
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Junín's performance.Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(4.1) |
2.85
(2.85) |
2.4 ↑
(2.05) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Unión will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%). Unión (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Unión (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Unión might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Fascendini V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Suarez L.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Unión Santa Fe?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Unión Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
29.09.2024
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:0
02.03.2024
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:2
08.10.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
15.05.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:2
08.09.2022
Unión Santa Fe
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
