Result
4:2
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (287/393) | 76% (311/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (287/393) | 76% (311/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/92) | 67% (74/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -2.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽, Medina E. A. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Anangono G. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Alman J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 1, Alman J. ⚽, Aleman C. (A),
- 63', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 63', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Londono A. (Pen),
- 75', Cabezas D. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 75', Chala J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 75', Diaz I. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 75', Moreno L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 81', Aleman C. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 82', Ramirez B. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 87', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 87', Valencia D. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 89', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Zambrano J. ⚽, Almeida F. (A),
Chances of winning
Manta
30.9% | Draw
27.1% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
3.41 ↓
(3.52) |
2.2 ↑
(2.13) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Manta has had a series of away games.
- Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Manta?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
15.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Manta
3:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 36:50 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Delfin | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
