Result
4:2
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
73% (287/393) | 76% (311/411) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.69 | 2.23 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
73% (287/393) | 76% (311/411) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (23/59) | 41% (24/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (49/92) | 67% (74/111) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.23 | 1.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | -2.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽, Medina E. A. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Anangono G. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Alman J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 1, Alman J. ⚽, Aleman C. (A),
- 63', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 63', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Londono A. (Pen),
- 75', Cabezas D. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 75', Chala J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 75', Diaz I. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 75', Moreno L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 81', Aleman C. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 82', Ramirez B. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 87', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 87', Valencia D. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 89', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Zambrano J. ⚽, Almeida F. (A),
Chances of winning
Manta 30.9% | Draw 27.1% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.97 ↓ (3.1) |
3.41 ↓ (3.52) |
2.2 ↑ (2.13) |
8.4% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Manta has had a series of away games.
- Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Manta?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
15.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Manta
3:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )