Manta vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
4:2
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 20
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.41
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
73% (287/393)76% (311/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.692.23
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
815
Passes
73% (287/393)76% (311/411)
Long passes
39% (23/59)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)67% (74/111)
Crosses
30% (3/10)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.93
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
158
Tackles
70% (14/20)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.231.69
Goals prevented
0.09-2.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Valencia D. , Medina E. A. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Palacios B. , Anangono G. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Alman J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Ortiz M. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Alman J. , Aleman C. (A),
  • 63', Rodriguez A. , Londono A. ,
  • 63', Romero Padilla D. A. , Diaz M. ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Londono A. (Pen),
  • 75', Cabezas D. , Ospitaleche F. ,
  • 75', Chala J. , Mina J. ,
  • 75', Diaz I. , Troya R. ,
  • 75', Moreno L. , Alonso M. ,
  • 81', Aleman C. , Almeida F. ,
  • 82', Ramirez B. , Zambrano J. ,
  • 87', Palacios B. , Yanez Zambrano S. ,
  • 87', Valencia D. , Ortiz R. ,
  • 89', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Zambrano J. , Almeida F. (A),

Chances of winning


Manta
30.9%
Draw
27.1%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 26.4% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    3.41
    (3.52)
    2.2
    (2.13)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Manta has had a series of away games.
    • Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta 3:0
    Latest results of Manta
    06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0
    23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0
    30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )