Manta vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

: Liga Pro - Round 20
Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.41
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
73% (287/393)	76% (311/411)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	2.23
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
3	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
19	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
73% (287/393)	76% (311/411)
Long passes
39% (23/59)	41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)	67% (74/111)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.93
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
70% (14/20)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
17	18
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
2.23	1.69
Goals prevented
0.09	-2.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽, Medina E. A. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Anangono G. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Alman J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Ortiz M. 🟨,
62', 3 - 1, Alman J. ⚽, Aleman C. (A),
63', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
63', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Londono A. (Pen),
75', Cabezas D. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
75', Chala J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
75', Diaz I. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
75', Moreno L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
81', Aleman C. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
82', Ramirez B. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
87', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
87', Valencia D. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
89', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 2, Zambrano J. ⚽, Almeida F. (A),

Chances of winning

Manta
30.9%

Draw
27.1%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)	8.4% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Manta has had a series of away games.
Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Manta?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

15.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta 3:0

Latest results of Manta

06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta 1:2 ✺

30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

05.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

21.06.2025 El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:3 ✺

01.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	20	11	7	2	37:18	19	40
2	LDU Quito	20	10	6	4	35:19	16	36
3	Barcelona SC	20	10	5	5	32:25	7	35
4	Dep. Cuenca	20	10	3	7	24:18	6	33
5	Orense	20	10	3	7	23:23	0	33
6	Libertad	20	8	6	6	30:26	4	30
7	Aucas	19	8	5	6	26:24	2	29
8	Delfin	20	6	8	6	20:28	-8	26
9	U. Catolica	20	6	7	7	31:28	3	25
10	Vinotinto	20	6	5	9	26:26	0	23
11	EL Nacional	19	6	5	8	23:28	-5	23
12	Manta	20	5	8	7	27:33	-6	23
13	Macara	20	5	7	8	19:20	-1	22
14	Emelec	20	5	7	8	15:24	-9	22
15	Mushuc Runa	20	4	5	11	24:37	-13	17
16	Tecnico U	20	2	7	11	18:33	-15	13

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz