Result
1:4
22/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/512) | 72% (242/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/512) | 72% (242/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 31% (23/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (81/149) | 49% (46/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.27 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Ferro A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Sole F. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 2, Figueroa R. ⚽, Fedor M. (A),
- 54', 1 - 3, Zalzman D. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
- 57', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
- 57', Cuesta J. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 57', De Sousa D. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
- 68', Cermeno C. 🟨,
- 69', Martinez A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
- 69', Zalzman D. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pena L. ↑,
- 77', Sole F. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
- 79', Simarra A. 🟨,
- 81', Ortiz C. 🟨,
- 87', Ramirez J. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 4, Ayine G. ⚽,
- 90+3', Fedor M. ↓, Gimenez J. ↑,
- 90+3', Figueroa R. ↓, Nieves A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
53.4% | Draw
25.4% | Metropolitanos
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Universidad Central - Metropolitanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.62) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
4.39 ↓
(5.37) |
7.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Metropolitanos?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Central will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2.
- Universidad Central has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metropolitanos is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Universidad Central is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Metropolitanos?
Universidad Central has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metropolitanos won against Universidad Central?
Metropolitanos has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Metropolitanos were as follows:
12.04.2025
Metropolitanos
-
Universidad Central
0:1
24.07.2024
Metropolitanos
-
Universidad Central
0:0
18.05.2024
Metropolitanos
-
Universidad Central
5:2
30.04.2024
Universidad Central
-
Metropolitanos
0:0
12.02.2024
Universidad Central
-
Metropolitanos
3:0
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Metropolitanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
