Atlético Grau vs Universidad César Vallejo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo
Result
3:1
02/11/2024 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruL1 Max
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
55
Free Kicks
1212
Corner Kicks
11
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1722
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Sandoval T. , de la Cruz P. (A),
  • 31', de la Cruz P. , Reyes J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Bandiera N. , Rostaing J. (A),
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Bandiera N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ballon J. , Mena Y. ,
  • 46', Perea G. , Da Silva P. ,
  • 65', Sandoval T. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 65', Rodas E. , Franco D. ,
  • 74', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 77', Rodriguez A. , Flores F. ,
  • 78', Alvarez P. , Fuentes A. ,
  • 78', Reyes J. , Garcia Ceriani B. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
  • 86', Deneumostier A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
40.7%
Draw
26.6%
Universidad César Vallejo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.8% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 25.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.93)
    3.47
    (3.66)
    2.83
    (3.72)
    7.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 1.
    • Grau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Grau will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Grau: Mora O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in César Vallejo: Cabello C. (Injury) Loyola N. (Injury) Quinones Goicochea J. J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grau: Sandoval R. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Grau to win the game is with odds 2.17.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Grau won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo were as follows:
    24.05.2024 Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau 2:1
    04.09.2023 Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau 5:0
    15.04.2023 Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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