Result
1:0
30/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN 5 Norte |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (220/331) | 71% (303/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (220/331) | 71% (303/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (51/90) | 58% (89/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (18/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Cardozo A. 🟨,
- 34', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
- 65', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
- 70', Salomoni F. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
- 76', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 83', Carrera R. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 83', Salvio E. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 86', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 86', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 90+2', Calderon F. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 90+4', Medina A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+6', Fernandez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús
52% | Draw
28.5% | Universidad de Chile
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Lanús - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.79) |
3.36 ↓
(3.51) |
4.82 ↑
(4.64) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lanús - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 51.5% – 92.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lanús (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lanús (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lanús (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lanús will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- Lanús is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Universidad de Chile?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Lanús?
Universidad de Chile has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
23.10.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Lanús
2:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta | |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | Olimpia Asuncion | |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
| 4 | Cienciano | FBC Melgar | |
| 5 | Montevideo City | Defensor Sp. | |
| 6 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | Monagas | |
| 8 | Caracas | Metropolitanos | |
| 9 | U. De Chile | Palestino | |
| 10 | Cobresal | A. Italiano | |
| 11 | Atl. Nacional | Millonarios | |
| 12 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | |
| 13 | Independiente | Guabira | |
| 14 | Blooming | SA Bulo Bulo | |
| 15 | Dep. Cuenca | Libertad | |
| 16 | Orense | Macara | |
