Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 12 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (289/383) | 81% (405/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (289/383) | 81% (405/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (29/70) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 58% (69/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Bell S. 🟨,
- 24', Zentner R. ↓, Riess L. ↑,
- 41', Rus A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Baiaram S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bell S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 57', Amiri N. 🟨,
- 61', Nordin A. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
- 61', Bobzien B. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
- 64', Baiaram S. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
- 64', Nsimba S. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. (Pen),
- 74', Bancu N. 🟨,
- 75', Maloney L. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
- 82', Cicaldau A. ↓, Teles ↑,
- 82', Baluta T. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
- 90+2', Isenko P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Henriksen B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitatea Craiova
22.2% | Draw
25.3% | Mainz
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Universitatea Craiova - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(4.25) |
3.76 ↑
(3.75) |
1.81 ↑
(1.81) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - Mainz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mainz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Uni Craiova: Mora C.
(Muscle Injury)
Paradela L.
(Inactive)
Radulescu M.
(Knee Injury)
Screciu V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mainz: Bos K.
(Inactive)
Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitatea Craiova won against Mainz?
Universitatea Craiova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Universitatea Craiova?
Mainz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitatea Craiova - Mainz were as follows:
Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
