Universitatea Craiova vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
75% (289/383)81% (405/501)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.05
Total shots
89
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
75% (289/383)81% (405/501)
Long passes
41% (29/70)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
45% (28/62)58% (69/119)
Crosses
0% (0/3)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.27
Throw-ins
3032
Fouls
1718
Tackles
52% (12/23)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6848
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
1017
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.050.82
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Bell S. 🟨,
  • 24', Zentner R. , Riess L. ,
  • 41', Rus A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Baiaram S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bell S. , Potulski K. ,
  • 57', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 61', Nordin A. , Nebel P. ,
  • 61', Bobzien B. , Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 64', Baiaram S. , Etim M. ,
  • 64', Nsimba S. , Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. (Pen),
  • 74', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 75', Maloney L. , Sano K. ,
  • 82', Cicaldau A. , Teles ,
  • 82', Baluta T. , Cretu A. ,
  • 90+2', Isenko P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Henriksen B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mekvabishvili A. , Stevanovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Universitatea Craiova
22.2%
Draw
25.3%
Mainz
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.3% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24.2% 50.2%

Universitatea Craiova - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.27
(4.25)
3.76
(3.75)
1.81
(1.81)
5.4%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - Mainz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Mainz will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mainz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni Craiova: Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Paradela L. (Inactive) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury) Screciu V. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mainz
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1
    29.10.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 0:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)