Lugazi Municipal vs UPDF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League Lugazi Municipal - UPDF
Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, Sanyuka TV

Match Stats

Total shots
00
Total shots
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mwanje D. , Rogers A. ,
  • 46', Lubega M. , Ssemugugu S. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Ssemugugu S. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Obua E. ,
  • 67', Faridi R. , Ochen E. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Janjali J. ,
  • 73', Obua E. , Buga M. ,
  • 78', Kalanzi A. , Norman L. ,
  • 83', Ayiko R. 🟨,
  • 85', Kigozi S. , Ssegujja A. ,
  • 85', Ssekamatte S. , Kalumba B. ,

Chances of winning


Lugazi Municipal
48.9%
Draw
30.3%
UPDF
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 29.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 28.2% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The chances for UPDF have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lugazi Municipal - UPDF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)
    3.01
    (3.05)
    4.38
    (4.35)
    9.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Lugazi Municipal - UPDF?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lugazi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Recent matches Lugazi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • UPDF is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lugazi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugazi is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugazi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - UPDF were as follows:
    19.09.2024 UPDF - Lugazi Municipal 1:0
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Latest results of UPDF
    04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    28.03.2025 Wakiso Giants - UPDF 0:1
    19.03.2025 Kaaro Karungi - UPDF 3:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League