UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9

Match Stats

Total shots
10
Red Cards
01
Total shots
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ochen E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Janjali J. ,
  • 69', Wasswa P. 🟥,

Chances of winning


UPDF
53.9%
Draw
23.9%
Lugazi Municipal
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 29.8% 24.3%

UPDF - Lugazi Municipal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(2.02)
3.77
(3)
4.05
(3.68)
11%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for UPDF - Lugazi Municipal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 12)
    • UPDF has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lugazi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lugazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • UPDF might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Lugazi Municipal - UPDF 2:2
    19.09.2024 UPDF - Lugazi Municipal 1:0
    Latest results of UPDF
    02.12.2025 Vipers - UPDF 5:1
    25.11.2025 UPDF - Villa 0:1
    19.11.2025 Calvary - UPDF 0:1
    06.11.2025 UPDF - Police 1:2
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Police1383225:121327
    2Vipers1183021:61527
    3Kampala City1383217:11627
    4Villa1282217:71026
    5Entebbe UPPC1382316:9726
    6Kitara1171316:8822
    7Maroons1344513:10316
    8NEC FC1236311:11015
    9Buhimba1241713:27-1413
    10BUL1234510:13-313
    11Express1233611:15-412
    12UPDF1332812:19-711
    13URA SC1225513:15-211
    14Mbarara City1224611:18-710
    15Lugazi1224611:18-710
    16Calvary1303106:24-183

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League