Result
1:0
18/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ayiko R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lugazi Municipal
46.7% | Draw
29.1% | UPDF
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugazi Municipal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UPDF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugazi Municipal - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.93) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
3.71 ↓
(3.85) |
11.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- Lugazi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- UPDF is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Lugazi has had a series of away games.
- Lugazi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugazi Municipal won against UPDF?
Lugazi Municipal has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Lugazi Municipal?
UPDF has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - UPDF were as follows:
05.12.2025
UPDF
-
Lugazi Municipal
2:0
11.04.2025
Lugazi Municipal
-
UPDF
2:2
19.09.2024
UPDF
-
Lugazi Municipal
1:0
Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | URA SC | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
