Result
1:1
11/12/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UGANDA: Premier League - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ssekamatte S. (Pen),
- 33', Bironse A. 🟨,
- 40', Kayondo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kabuye B. ↓, Zzinda H. ↑,
- 50', Ochen E. 🟨,
- 65', Etou G. ↓, Olega C. ↑,
- 68', Musabbah H. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 73', Ssekamatte S. ↓, Mayanja S. ↑,
- 73', Ochen E. ↓, Kalumba B. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Adima H. ⚽,
- 85', Adima H. ↓, Kawooya A. ↑,
- 87', Mugisa F. ↓, Janjali J. ↑,
- 89', Kiirya A. ↓, Ssekitoleko D. ↑,
Chances of winning
UPDF 60.5% | Draw 25.2% | Mbale Heroes 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
UPDF - Mbale Heroes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.6) |
3.6 ↑ (3.51) |
6.35 ↑ (5.37) |
10.3% (9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- Recent matches UPDF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mbale Heroes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match UPDF is certain favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Mbale Heroes?
UPDF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbale Heroes won against UPDF?
Mbale Heroes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Mbale Heroes were as follows:
Latest results of Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Police | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
2 | BUL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Buhimba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Entebbe UPPC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
5 | Express | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Lugazi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | URA SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
8 | Kampala City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Mbarara City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | NEC FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | UPDF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Maroons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Calvary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League