UPDF vs Mbale Heroes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League UPDF - Mbale Heroes
Result
1:1
11/12/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UGANDA: Premier League - Round 12

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ssekamatte S. (Pen),
  • 33', Bironse A. 🟨,
  • 40', Kayondo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kabuye B. , Zzinda H. ,
  • 50', Ochen E. 🟨,
  • 65', Etou G. , Olega C. ,
  • 68', Musabbah H. , Kato H. ,
  • 73', Ssekamatte S. , Mayanja S. ,
  • 73', Ochen E. , Kalumba B. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Adima H. ,
  • 85', Adima H. , Kawooya A. ,
  • 87', Mugisa F. , Janjali J. ,
  • 89', Kiirya A. , Ssekitoleko D. ,

Chances of winning


UPDF
60.5%
Draw
25.2%
Mbale Heroes
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 26% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 25.3% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • UPDF - Mbale Heroes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.6)
    3.6
    (3.51)
    6.35
    (5.37)
    10.3%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • Recent matches UPDF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mbale Heroes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match UPDF is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of UPDF
    04.12.2024 Bul - UPDF 0:2
    27.11.2024 UPDF - Police 2:2
    22.11.2024 Kitara - UPDF 4:0
    06.11.2024 UPDF - Mbarara City 2:1
    01.11.2024 Villa - UPDF 5:0
    Latest results of Mbale Heroes
    06.12.2024 Kitara - Mbale Heroes 6:0
    10.11.2024 Mbale Heroes - Bul 0:0
    30.10.2024 Police - Mbale Heroes 2:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League